- Economics-increased. This is a 'meta-entry' on education. Equality And Security. L. The main question, 'how may the Finnish wood-based economy look like in 2040', was focused on the . The National Intelligence Council has released the seventh edition of its quadrennial Global Trends report. Support Center Find answers to questions about products, access, use, setup, and administration. We constructed this report around two central organizing principles: identifying and assessing broad forces that are shaping the future strategic environment, and then exploring how populations and leaders will act on and respond to the forces. Harvard (18th ed.) This study identifies the likely changes in mobility requirements between now and 2040 and outlines a range of options to deliver global mobility in dynamic threat and policy environments. WELCOME TO GLOBAL TRENDS 2040 Welcome to the 7th edition of the National Intelligence Council's Global Trends report. Read through all the scenarios carefully so that you can gain an understanding of the main aspects of each modeled scenario, paying particular attention to the one you want to write about. These dynamics are not fixed in perpetuity, however, and we envision a variety of plausible scenarios for the world of 2040from a democratic renais- sance to a transformation in global cooperation spurred by shared tragedydepending on how these dynamics interact and human choices along the way. - Economics-increased government debt and concentrated economic power will escalate problems for the poor and middleclass. [1] Contents We also work with leading academic institutions and not-for-profit groups. Citation Vu, Cung. according to findings, six mega-trends that would shape the future of global energy sector are as follows: growing demand for natural gas, increasing the share of non-fossil resources in the global energy consumption, divergence of economic growth with energy demand growth, stability of oil demand and oil price, increasing demand for oil in the 1. Global Trends The first part of report is an analysis of the key driving factors in demography, the natural environment, economy, and technology of a long-term nature that might shape the international order by 2040. Tal vez desee visitar tambin nuestros contenidos en espaol en Cairn Mundo.. CAMBIAR A ESPAOL This includes the National Security Agency and C.I.A. Vu, Cung | April 2021 During the next two decades the advancements of technology will enhance human capabilities to address challenges such as healthcare, environment, quality of life but at the same time create tensions and disruptions within and between societies and states. Our clients span continents and industries, from Europe to Asia, Africa and the Americas, and across sectors as diverse as consumer goods, pharmaceuticals, utilities, B2B engineering, consultancy and the public sector. A Look at the Key Trends That Will Shape the Next Two DecadesWith shifting global demographics, rapid technological change and rising geopolitical competitio. It specifically discusses the four main trends that will shape tomorrow's world: - Demographics-by 2040, 1.4 billion people will be added mostly in Africa and South Asia. To help policymakers navigate our future world, the National Intelligence Council's recent report, " Global Trends 2040: A More Contested World ," analyzes the key structural forces and emerging dynamics that are shaping the international landscape and presents scenarios for what the next two decades might hold. A biweekly newsletter exploring the big picture of why America isn't . Faster Pace of Innovation. Global Trends 2040: A More Contested World is an unclassified assessment of the forces and dynamics that the NIC anticipates are likely to shape the national security environment over the next 20 years. Our clients. During the next two decades, several global economic trends, including rising national debt, a more complex and fragmented trading environment, the global spread of trade in services, new employment disruptions, and the continued rise of powerful firms, are likely to shape conditions within and between states. Our latest analysis and commentary when it is published. But HG said to find an opiate for the end in his last book just before the drop of the Bomb on Hiroshima. We also provided a simple estimate of the future number of melanoma cases and deaths worldwide for the year 2040, based on demographic projections and scenarios of uniformly increasing, stable, or decreasing rates annually . The study analyzes each energy scenario's outputs and outlooks by 2040 such as gross domestic product growth, technology developments, primary energy demand by sector, energy supply by fuel, energy intensity and carbon emissions. Global Trends 2040 identifies four structural forces that will shape the future - demographics, the environment, economics, and technology - and assesses how they affect decisions and outcomes. A national security think tank sees a continual decline in global democratic governance, due to economics, climate, pandemics, assorted rolling pearlharbors, and elites not giving a shit, until, the report claims, the US leads a resurgence in Democracy or about 2040, Addeddate. Arnold M, Singh D, Laversanne M, et al. In turn, this connectivity will help produce new efficiencies, conveniences, and advances in living standards. A monthly update on Capita's work with our most popular insight and analysis. [6] This article provides an update on the global cancer burden using the GLOBOCAN 2020 estimates of cancer incidence and mortality produced by the International Agency for Research on Cancer. ; Contact Us Have a question, idea, or some feedback? Increasing Competition for Talent. Think tank summary of things to come. 5 Questions from Global Trends 2040 Capita. Greater Personalization and Customization. Global trends are shaped by global powers, and 2030 is right around the corner. Security 2040 is a research initiative from RAND's Center for Global Risk and Security. Also, be sure to familiarize yourself with the [] Becoming More Global. Based on . We want to hear from you. The number of cities with a population of more than one million will also increase. 2021-12-24 03:55:04. Download the report as PDF (3.6 MB) Download the executive summary (2.7 MB) The future is now, and tomorrow's challenges (and opportunities) are determined by today's choices. We believe that in the world of 2030a world in which a growing global population will have reached somewhere close to 8.3 billion people (up from 7.1 billion in 2012)four demographic trends will fundamentally shape, although not necessarily determine, most countries' economic and political conditions and relations among countries. It further describes five potential scenarios for the world in 2040, based on different combinations of the structural forces, emerging dynamics . Pinpoint the top-level implications of these options for future force design and capability planning. This week, Executive Vice President John Byrne, and Creative Director Elliot Berman of the AML RightSource staff talk about the report Global Trends 2040, issued by the National Intelligence Council. Yet it came as a surprise. The visualizations and research discussed here are also discussed in other, more specific data entries. Although directed at American concerns, especially security, it provides a comprehensive perspective that is based on wide consultation with academics and others in Africa, Europe, and Asia. RAND researchers used a mixed-method approach to deliver the study, including literature review and a broad stakeholder consultation across the Armed Forces . Gregory F. Treverton was Chair of the U.S. National Intelligence Council until January 2017. The EY Megatrends framework exposes business leaders to trends and forces far outside their usual scope of analysis, reducing the risk of missing out on . The goal is not to offer a specific prediction of the world in 2040; instead, our intent is to help policymakers and citizens see what may lie beyond the horizon and prepare for an array of possible futures." Some Key Takeaways From the Document Include: Collection. Published every four years since 1997, Global Trends assesses the key trends and uncertainties that will shape the strategic environment for the United States during the next two decades. Worldwide, an estimated 19.3 million new cancer cases (18.1 million excluding nonmelanoma skin cancer) and almo Global Trends 2030: OR OF NAT IO CT Alternative RE NA F THE DI L IN . - Economics-increased government debt and concentrated economic power will escalate problems for the poor and middleclass. [3] estimated that the global GHGEs of the ICT sector relative to the worldwide footprint doubled from 1-1.6% in 2007 to 3-3.6% in 2020. The latest report, Global Trends 2040, released last week by the National Intelligence Council, finds that the pandemic has proved to be "the most significant, singular global disruption. Global Trends 2040: A More Contested World is an unclassified assessment of the forces and dynamics that the NIC anticipates are likely to shape the national security environment over the next twenty years.. You may have already requested this item. Capita This Month. Belkhir et al. The struggle to establish an effective system of global governance, is likely to be a central theme of the era. If this trend continues, the share of ICT . Global Trends 2040. Becoming More Connected. There are many forces influencing global directions and the ability of governments, NGOs, and individuals to respond to crises and political events. . The following options were explored in greater detail: the use of multi-role platforms; international collaboration; commercial solutions; uncrewed or . J., & AbbasiShavazi, M. J. Global Trends 2040 identifies four structural forces that will . The National Intelligence Council (NIC) on Thursday released the seventh edition of its quadrennial Global Trends report. Acknowledges that democracy is kaput but may be reborn by 2040, America leading the way. Citation. A PUBLICATION OF THE NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE COUNCIL MARCH 2021 2040 GLOBAL TRENDS A M O R E C O N T E S T E D W O R L Study Resources Global Trends 2040. Increasing Complexity. Global Trends 2040 ICJ-ICC. The NIC's Global Trends 2040 Report: A Development Outlook June 3, 2021 By Steven Gale The recently released National Intelligence Council's Global Trends 2040 report, clocking in at over 140 pages, is titled "A More Contested World." That headline should come as no surprise to development professionals. Urbanisation will continue and, by 2040, two-thirds of the world's population will live in cities.
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